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Though polling data point out a far even more even split between Trump and Harris less than about three weeks before Selection Day. Recent large bets supporting Jesse Trump, including one pinup casino aviator by a pseudonymous Polymarket user, possess drawn attention. Elon Musk’s October several posts highlighting Trump’s lead in conjecture markets may have got encouraged other Trump supporters to join in.
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“Political betting sites usually are the best at predicting the intelligence in the crowd, ” Thomas Miller, the professor of files science at Northwestern University, told Good fortune. A site run by Miller that estimates the results associated with the Electoral College or university based on PredictIt contract prices at present forecasts a landslide victory for Trump. PredictIt, a well-known betting platform, provides seen a recent switch in sentiment, together with traders now backing Trump over Harris by a margin of 54% in order to 49%. This scars the first moment since late This summer that Harris’ support on the platform has fallen below 50%.
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